Sunset was my first WW recruit and she holds the stats I gathered. I wrote down every single WW encounter I had up until the token update when I decided to stop.

To anyone interested, feel free to compare results!
I traded many of the 4-digits for KS companions and a bracchus scroll.

Format: Joins/total encounters
Accidental ignores: 5, counting toward failures
Successfully got a wolf to join only to realize I was out of den space: 1 (it would've been a 4-digit too… I'm still very mad about this, it was 2 AM and I was too tired to realize…)

2023-05-06
1/2 #2890
2023-05-06
2/13 #5516
3/32 #6542
2023-05-08
4/42 #7927
5/52 #7985
6/77 #8533
7/83 #8916
8/92 #8950
9/130 #9248 (nearly 40 encounters later… and it's a double, near triple. this was right before or after the den space incident too)
2023-05-11
10/136 #17267
11/137 #17272
12/142 #17584
13/146 #17614
14/149 #17651
15/151 #17678
2023-05-12
16/179 #19806
2023-05-15
17/196 #25043
2023-05-16
18/204 #25149
19/222 #27153
2023-05-18
20/238 #28464
21/241 #30416
2023-05-19
22/244 #32279
23/248 #32286
24/250 #32560
2023-05-20
25/258 #34108
26/264 #34141
2023-05-21
27/281 #35593
28/284 #35974
29/290 #36031

Final results: 29(30)/296. Final conclusion is that the join chance is around 1/10. Some days I got a recruit once every 3 encounters, but on other days I'd go 20-40 encounters without a single join… RNG is weird.

Do you agree with the results, or is your luck very different?

my luck so far has been 5/83 (which is… not very good lmao) its somewhere around 1/15 to 1/17, i suppose

I had successfully gotten 2 WW out of 12 Encounters before the KnuckleBone Update.

Now I'm at 0/32 after the update nwn;;

Going Bonkers!

I got two WWs before the knucklebone update, but since it was implemented am now at 1 lucky encounter per 22 total (all over a bit less than 3000 total explorations).

I used to be able to get at least one WW after about an hour of exploring.

After the update, after grinding around an hour of explore a day, I haven't got a single WW in the week and am currently at 32 knucklebones. It's pretty rough.

Before the update I found two WWs from who knows how many encounters (only joined a couple of days beforehand).

Since the update, having been on and campaigning daily… I have had FOUR encounters total, all unsuccessful.

I even had a kind soul give me 10 knucklebones because of my abysmal encounter luck.

On the plus side, I'm rapidly levelling a surplus of wolves to run the gauntlet without wasting food…

the WW encounter rate was changed back to the original probability; sounds like y'all are having bad luck :(

before knucklebone update, I had 6 WW encounters and 0 befriends; after the update, I had 1 WW befriend and 15 knucklebones

So 1 success out of 20 encounters oofers